Climate Action — Children

Children

Please do not Galileo me.
Source: Guardian

Unless you will ever contemplate lighting a forest fire, the decision to reproduce is probably the biggest carbon choice you will ever make.

How Bad are Bananas, Mike Berners-Lee (2013)

Research

58.6 tons per child per year

  • Emissions are added up until an end date, which isn’t specified in Carbon Legacies. The choice of date makes a big difference to the final figure.
  • Carbon Legacies considers several emissions reduction trajectories, but they are pretty arbitrary, not grounded in the data.
  • Dividing the Carbon Legacies figures by life expectancy is not really meaningful…
  • and nor is averaging over three randomly chosen developed countries.

How Bad are Bananas

Other Research

To be fair, not all journalists are like this. Just most of them.

Science versus Journalism

Emissions and Sins

Calculating the Impact

Emissions Decrease

  • UK consumption emissions dropped 1.2% a year.
  • UK emissions are projected to drop 1.7% a year to 2035.
  • US consumption emissions dropped 0.54% a year.
  • US emissions are projected to drop 0.71% a year to 2050.

Grandchildren and great-grandchildren

  • your child from 2021 to 2099
  • your grandchildren from 2051 to 2099
  • your great-grandchildren from 2080 to 2099.
From here and here.

The Final Calculation

Lifestyle

On the Little Planet

  • For an average US person, each child increases their Little Planet’s 2100 temperature by 2.2 °C.
  • For an average UK person, each child increases their Little Planet’s 2100 temperature by 1.4°C.
Source: Guardian

Key science, with sources. Minus bad statistics. Minus shaky methodology. Minus politicisation, left or right.

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criticalscience

Key science, with sources. Minus bad statistics. Minus shaky methodology. Minus politicisation, left or right.

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